Which Currency Pair and When

People trade foreign currencies for two basic reasons. Companies doing business internationally need to exchange currencies in order to make and receive payment for goods and services. These folks follow fundamentals and use Forex technical strategies in order to hedge the risk of currency fluctuation between the signing of a contract and final payment. Currency speculators simply seek to profit from price changes between any given pair of currencies. To a degree it is easier to develop a Forex trading system for hedging currency risk because the trader is only interested in one pair of currencies and one specific time frame. On the other hand a currency speculator will commonly keep his eye on a number of currency pairs in order to trade the most profitable pair at the most profitable time. Thus a speculator will need to allot time to seeking the most profitable pairs to trade and may subscribe to an alert service in order to trade when price action is potentially most profitable.

Which Market to Trade and What Time of Day

The major Forex exchanges are London, New York, and Tokyo. The sum total of their business hours allows a trader, in theory, to trade around the clock. However, humans need sleep. Traders also need prep time to scout out trading opportunities, learn more about trading strategies, review results, and modify their trading system. In order to develop a Forex trading system that works for people, time of day, available hours and organization of work flow are crucial. Folks wishing to trade the post tsunami Yen versus other currencies may wish to work during Tokyo business hours while those trading the British Pound may wish to work London business hours. For a trader living in Miami, Chicago, Denver, or San Francisco this will require other arrangements in order for the trader to have a personal, social, or family life.

How Much Do You Want To Risk and How Do You Protect Your Money?

Success is never guaranteed in Forex trading. Traders typically trade using a margin account. Then they leverage their trades which can greatly magnify profits but can also magnify losses. Smart traders also use trailing stops in order to lock in gains and avoid disastrous losses. Smart day traders get out of all of their trades at the end of the trading session to avoid getting caught in a big gap when the market opens the next day. Smart traders never put all of their money into one trade and smart traders never look upon what they are doing as gambling. And good traders review their results whether they are trading the Euro and the Greek debt crisis or are knowledgeable about commodities and trading the AUD, and if their system does not work they develop a Forex trading system that does.

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While some were making money trading the Euro rally others profited from rising stock markets throughout the world. Traders are looking for stability. We see this in the flight to the dollar of late. Not only have traders been buying dollars and sending the greenback higher but US Treasuries have been selling like hotcakes as well, driving down interest rates and making currently held Treasuries more valuable. In fact the best investments in the last month or so have been secondary market US Treasuries and the US dollar itself. Now, in trading the Euro rally, bearish traders will likely short the Euro while those expecting a European debt solution will likely jump in with both feet and either buy Euros or buy calls on the Euro. Until the Greek debt crisis and possibility of Italian debt default resolve themselves the market will likely remain chaotic.

An advantage of buying options in a chaotic market is that one need never purchase the currencies involved. A trader can buy calls or puts on the Euro with US dollars, Yen, or Swiss francs. If the EUR/USD, EUR/CHF, or EUR/YEN perform as expected the trader can simply execute the opposite trade and exit his position with a profit. He will, of course, have to hold his assets in one currency or the other but need not buy Euros if he trading them versus another currency. Many expect the current rally of the Euro to be short lived. These traders will typically day trade the Euro and get out before the market closes, fearing that breaking news when their market is closed or when they are asleep will be devastating to an established trading position. In trading the Euro rally traders will likely watch technical pricing data more closely than the fundamentals, which are still somewhat unclear. Although both German and French leaders have promised help for banks and the governments of the PIIGS nations there is dissent, especially in Germany, at the suggestion of using German assets to bail out those governments seen as profligate by German voters. In the meantime trading the Euro rally could result in profits, or losses, for those trading in either direction. A successful Forex trading system in this instance could involve use of a strategy such as a long straddle which would allow traders to profit from either upward or downward movement of the Euro against other currencies.

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United States Dollar – USD

Euro – EUR

British Pound – GBP

Japanese Yen – JPY

Swiss franc – CHF

Canadian Dollar – CAD

Australian Dollar – AUD

Foreign exchange trading can be lucrative and foreign exchange trading can be financially disastrous. Would be traders need to learn the fundamentals that drive Forex markets and develop Forex technical strategies that lead to profits. Like all business endeavors there is a high rate of failure in the early months and years. The problem for the beginning trader is that he is always trading against professionals with years of experience and substantial research experience. As hedge funds and other new investors enter into foreign exchange trading they bring with them or hire professionals who map market trends and develop increasingly sophisticated computer programs to anticipate market movement and execute split second trades. The backbone of foreign currency trading is comprised of the international companies and banks that exchange currencies as part of their business. These companies often engage in options trading in order to hedge currency risk and have decades of experience in reading the Forex markets.

Professional Forex trading operations typically have a host of professionals at every level of trading, strategic development, and IT in order to develop and execute successfully. While the beginning Forex investor is simply wondering how to trade currency an institutional trader will be using complicated algorithms to profit from the volatility of the Euro in the face of an ever growing debt crisis. Traders will develop dozens of trading models and then test and compare with historic trading data. The beginning investor can do the same but does not have the “horse power” to keep up with the large operations. The flip side is that an individual trader does not need to enter into every possible trade. He does not need a steady income stream to pay the salaries or dozens of support personnel. An individual trader has the option to follow the currency pair or pairs of his choice and execute the occasional, hopefully profitable, trade based upon clear and compelling data and reasoning. A common means of limiting investment risk and also leveraging investment capital is to buy options in foreign exchange trading. A trader buys puts in order to profit from a down turn in a currency he owns and calls to profit from an upturn in a currency he wishes to buy. His investment risk is limited to the premium paid and he has the potential for a multiple return on investment.

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However, this low margin and high leverage is also the #1 risk and cause of loss among novice Forex traders. Misuse of leverage is the Forex cardinal sin. In the article below I’m going to explain the new leverage rules, and show you exactly how to take advantage of it! To give you even more I put together this Free Forex Toolkit with an entire video section dedicated to using the new leverage rules to consistently profit…GET IT HERE.

What do we mean by low margin and what is leverage? Well basically this means that you can control a huge amount of a currency in the Forex market with a very small cash outlay. The normal stock and index options that we trade at BigTrends.com represent 100 shares of stock — you pay a premium to control/own this option. For example, in the stock option market you may be able to control the right to buy 100 shares of IBM for $500 — this is an example of leverage. However, the leverage in Forex is much greater than this in most cases … but so is the risk.

We only have to look at the recent housing market crash to see an example of where leverage and low margin caused massive losses among individual investors. People across the world were buying houses and properties beyond their means and with very little cash down. Many of these were speculative, greedy bets on a continued sharp rise in housing prices — which knowledgeable, experienced traders such as ourselves knew wouldn’t continue forever. They weren’t bad homeowners; they simply misused leverage.

The huge amount of potential leverage and low margin requirements in fx trading is similar to this. The latest rules allow Forex leverage for 50:1 on major currencies and 20:1 on minor currencies. Some brokers may still be able to offer 100:1 leverage. What this means is that a trader can often control millions of dollars of a currency proposition with a very small cash outlay. When novice traders allow emotions such as greed and fear to rule their trading, they often end up on the losing end of large leveraged bets.

Thanks for reading, and I’ve got a lot more where that came from! While I write my next article get my Free Forex Toolkit that will put your Forex trading on the right track!

Article compliments of Scott Downing, Director of Research at BigTrends.com

The largest, most liquid market in the world is the forex market which has trades of over $2 trillion US dollars taking place on a daily basis most of the week. This market is constantly on the move any time of day or night throughout the year. Trades are being placed at any given time of the day. The market is full of all kinds of players such as corporations and financial institutions to your individual investor.

The main thing to keep in mind about the Forex is that it deals with the currency used by all countries around the world. Therefore, foreign exchange markets are moved by supply and demand, which is in constant flux and needs to be continually monitored to optimize trading.

Everyday, there are large volumes of currency conversions carried out by government, commercial and individual traders. That large and small investors can trade in this marketplace is what makes foreign exchange trading so attractive and popular.

The liquidity of the forex market and the 24 hour trading environment due to overlapping world markets are advantages that allow traders to chop and change their trading strategies quickly depending on the world’s geopolitical, economical and environmental conditions. Of course, foreign exchange trading is not without a considerable amount of risk along with the chance to realize awesome profits.

You had better understand though of the ever present danger of having your entire capital investment as well as any profits wiped out from movements of the market against you. Doing your homework in regards to any market tricks or tips is of paramount importance ahead of placing any decent amounts of money in a trade. Don’t ever make a trade if you have any negative gut-feelings.

There are endless numbers of websites and courses on foreign exchange investments which you can utilize on the internet. In Forex trades are generally ended at a spot rate, being settled within a couple of business days.

On the other hand, rollovers are when positions stay open and roll-over to the following day, which means the positions will be settled at the new rate. The asking and offer prices are the quotes for the 2 currencies involved. With the asking price being on the right and the offer price being on the left.

The forex trading software will also act as a weapon in your business where you will be able to target all the top domains in the market. If you follow these strategies properly, you do not have to worry about any type of hassles that you have to face in your business. There are many top business domains that are running successfully with the help of these strategies. A recent study on forex programs has been also proved that more and more firms are using this software to develop their businesses.

If you are looking for an option to know more about Forex Trading strategies, researching on the web is probably the best option available for you. There are many websites on the net that will provide you more information on this topic. Once you give a search in the search engines, you will be able to find many websites that will give you the complete information on this product. You can also find websites that will provide you these strategies online.  You also have an option to order the Forex software with the help of these websites. Once you login to an official website, you will be able to find an option to buy this product through internet. It is also wise to do a background research on the website, from which you are planning to buy this software as it will help you to obtain a genuine product.

If you are looking for an option to obtain these Forex Trading strategies through the web, you will find a few domains that will provide you the best Forex Trading strategies available in the market. We consider the Forex Nitty Gritty course to be among the best.

First of all, let’s remember that success in forex is as dependent on good risk management as it is on good analytical skills. In most cases, trends in the market are generated by the perceptions of market participants. As such, they are unlikely to have a one-to-one correspondence with economic realities, and even when the reasons backing a particular trend are strong, there’s always the possibility that it will develop into a bubble where all connection with reality is easily and rapidly lost. As such, the credibility of both technical and fundamental analysis is limited by the rationality of market participants. A successful trader always prepares for being proven wrong by the markets, and never blames the market, or even his analysis, when things don’t go as expected.

It is fair to say that the causes of market events can be determined in the long term through the use of fundamental analysis. This is true even if the market is not reacting in a rational manner, because a seemingly irrational condition is still being maintained because some people somewhere are making great profits from it (from their vantage point, there is nothing irrational in the way things are going.). On the other hand, in the short–term the price action is more or less unpredictable, and difficult to analyze, and it is perhaps a good idea to use technical tools in the analysis of short-term trends due to the meaninglessness of fundamental factors on a five-minute basis, for example.

A trader can choose to employ any of these methods and achieve varying degrees of profitability provided that he’s also applying risk management methods carefully. All schools of analysis will emit false signals once a while, that is the one infallible rule of analysis. Even such great minds like Warren Buffer are well-known to have made some major mistakes in the past, and nobody blames them for incompetence on that basis. But when these people make mistakes, they don’t vacillate, but act quickly and decisively to correct the error and take the necessary actions to ensure future profitability.

Finally, depending on your preference in analysis, make sure that you choose only those forex brokers that are suitable to your expectations. Some brokers perform better with a technical strategy, others are more suited to a fundamental approach. In both cases, try to test the broker thoroughly through several stages before making a real commitment.

Some of the benefits of trading the Forex market are:

Superior liquidity.

Liquidity is what really makes the Forex market different from other markets. The Forex market is by far the most liquid financial market in the world with nearly 2 trillion dollars traded everyday. This ensures price stability and better trade execution. Allowing traders to open and close transactions with ease. Also such a tremendous volume makes it hard to manipulate the market in an extended manner.

24hr Market.

This one is also one of the greatest advantages of trading Forex. It is an around the click market, the market opens on Sunday at 3:00 pm EST when New Zealand begins operations, and closes on Friday at 5:00 pm EST when San Francisco terminates operations. There are transactions in practically every time zone, allowing active traders to choose at what time to trade.

Leverage trading.

Trading the Forex Market offers a greater buying power than many other markets. Some Forex brokers offer leverage up to 400:1, allowing traders to have only 0.25% in margin of the total investment. For instance, a trader using 100:1 means that to have a US$100,000 position, only US$1,000 are needed on margin to be able to open that position.

Low Transaction costs.

Almost all brokers offer commission free trading. The only cost traders incur in any transaction is the spread (difference between the buy and sell price of each currency pair). This spread could be as low as 1 pip (the minimum increment in any currency pair) in some pairs.

Low minimum investment.

The Forex market requires less capital to start trading than any other markets. The initial investment could go as low as $300 USD, depending on leverage offered by the broker. This is a great advantage since Forex traders are able to keep their risk investment to the lowest level.

Specialized trading.

The liquidity of the market allows us to focus on just a few instruments (or currency pairs) as our main investments (85% of all trading transactions are made on the seven major currencies). Allowing us to monitor, and at the end get to know each instrument better.

Trading from anywhere.

If you do a lot of traveling, you can trade from anywhere in the world just having an internet connection.

Some of the most important differences between the Forex market and other markets are explained below.

Forex market vs. Equity markets

Liquidity

FX market: Near two trillion dollars of daily volume.

Equity market: Around 200 billion on a daily basis.

Trading hours

FX market: 24hr market, 5.5 days a week.

Equity market: Monday through Friday from 8:30 EST to 5:00 EST.

Profit potential

FX market: In both, rising and falling markets.

Equity market: Most traders/investor profit only from rising markets.

Transaction costs

FX market: Commission free and tight spreads.

Equity market: High Commissions and transaction fees.

Buying power

FX market: Leverage up to 400:1.

Equity market: Leverage from 2:1 to 4:1.

Specialization

FX market: most volume (85%) is made on major currencies (USD, EUR, JPY, GBP, CHF, CAD and AUD.)

Equity market: More than 40,000 stocks to choose from.

Forex market vs. Futures market

Liquidity

FX Market: Near two trillion dollars of daily volume.

Futures market: Around 400 billion dollars on a daily basis.

Transaction costs

FX market: Commission free and tight spreads.

Futures market: High commissions fees.

Margin

FX market: Fixed rate of margin on every position.

Futures market: Different levels of margin on overnight positions than day time positions.

Trade execution

FX market: Instantaneous execution.

Futures market: Inconsistent execution.

All this makes the Forex market very attractive to investors and traders. But I need to make something clear, although the benefits of trading the Forex market are notorious; it is still difficult to make a successful career trading the Forex market. It requires a lot of education, discipline, commitment and patience, as any other market.

The benefits of trading the currency market:

It is open 24-hours and it closes only on the weekends;

It is very liquid and efficient;

It is very volatile;

It has very low transaction costs;

You can use a high level of leverage (borrowed money) with ease; and

You can profit from a bull or a bear market.

Continuous, 24-Hour Trading

The currency exchange is a 24-hour market. You may decide to trade after you come home from work. Regardless of what time-frame you want to trade at whatever time of the day, there would be enough buyers and sellers to take the other side of your trade. This feature of the market gives you enough flexibility to manage your trading around your daily routine.

Liquidity And Efficiency

When there are a lot of buyers and a lot of sellers, you can expect to buy or sell at a price that is very close to the last market price. The currency market is the most liquid market in the world. Trading volume in the currency markets can be between 50 and 100 times larger than the New York Stock Exchange (Source: Oanda.)

When you are trading stocks, you may have experienced events where one piece of news accelerates or decelerates the price of the underlying stock you may have bought into. Perhaps a director has been kicked out by the shareholders of a company or the company has just released a new product and big investors are buying the shares of a particular company. Share prices can be drastically affected by the actions or inactions of one or a few individuals. So if you are relying on television reports and newspapers to get your news, most of the opportunities or warnings will have come too late for you to take advantage by the time you get them.

The value of currencies on the other hand is affected by so many factors and so many participants that the likelihood of any one individual or group of individuals drastically affecting the value of a currency is minute. Because of its sheer size, the currency market is hard to manipulate. The ability for people to engage in ‘insider trading’ is virtually eliminated. As an average trader, you are less disadvantaged. You are likely to be playing on relatively equal ground along with all the other traders and investors whom you are competing against.

Note about price gaps:

For those people who have already traded other markets, you probably know about price ‘gaps’. ‘Gaps’ occur when prices ‘jump’ from one price level to another without having taken any incremental steps to get there. For example, you may be trading a share that closes at $10 at the end of today but due to some event that happens overnight; it opens tomorrow at $5 and continues to go downwards for the rest of the day.

Gaps bring about another degree of uncertainty that may meddle with a trader’s strategy. Probably one of the most worrying aspects of this is when a trader uses stop-losses. In this case, if a trader puts a stop-loss at $7 because he no longer wants to be in a trade if the share price hits $7, his trade will remain open overnight and the trader wakes up tomorrow with a loss bigger than he may have been prepared for.

After looking at a couple of forex charts, you will realize that there are little price ‘gaps’ or none at all, especially on the longer-term charts like the 3-hour, 4-hour or the daily charts.

Volatility

Trading opportunities exist when prices fluctuate. If you buy a share for $2 and it stays there, there is no opportunity to make a profit. The magnitude of level of this fluctuation and its frequency is referred to as volatility. As a trader, it is volatility that you profit from. Large volume transactions and high liquidity combined with fewer trading instruments generate greater intra-day volatility in the currency market that can be exploited by day-traders. The high volatility of the currency market indicates that a trader can potentially earn 5 times more money from currency trading than trading the most liquid shares.

Volatility is a measure of maximum return that a trader can generate with perfect foresight. Volatility for the most liquid stocks are between 60 to 100. Volatility for currency trading is 500. (Source: Oanda.)

In this respect, currencies make a better trading vehicle for day-traders than the equity markets.

Low Transaction Costs

A currency transaction typically incurs no commission or transaction fees. For a forex trader, the spread is the only cost he or she needs to cover in taking on a position. In addition, because of the currency market’s efficiency, there is little or no ‘slippage’ costs.

‘Slippage’ is the cost involved when traders enter the market at a price worse than the level they wanted to get into. For example, a trader wants to buy a share at $2.00 but by the time, the order gets executed, his gets to buy the shares at $2.50. That fifty cents difference is his slippage cost. Slippage cost affects large-volume traders a lot. When they buy large quantities of a commodity, it oversupplies the market with buy orders. This applies a pressure for the price to go up. By the time they get to buy all the quantities they wanted, the average price they got their commodities would be higher than the price they intended to get them for. Conversely, when they sell large quantities of a commodity, they oversupply the market with sell orders. This applies a pressure for the price to go down. By the time they finish selling all their commodities, their average selling price is less than what they initially intended to sell them for.

Due to lower transaction costs, minimum slippage and strong intra-day volatility, individuals can trade frequently at small costs. As an approximate, you may only expect to have a spread of 0.03% of your position size. To give you an example, you can buy and sell 10,000 US Dollars and this will only incur a 3-point spread, equivalent to $3.

Leverage

There are not a lot of banks or people who would lend you money so that you can use it to trade shares. And if there are, it would be very hard for you to convince them to invest in you and in your idea that a certain share is going to go up or down. Therefore, most of the time, if you have a $10,000 account, you can only really afford to buy $10,000 worth of stocks.

In currency trading however, because you use ‘borrowed money’, you can trade $10,000 of a currency and you only need anywhere between fifty (For a margin lending ratio of 200:1) to two hundred dollars ( For a margin lending ratio of 50:1) in your trading account. This makes it possible for an average trader with a small trading account, under $10,000 to be able to profit sufficiently from the movements of the currency exchange rates. This concept is explained further in The Part-Time Currency Trader.

Profit From A Bull And Bear Market

When you are trading shares, you can only profit when the price of a stock goes up. When you suspect that it is about to go down or that it is just going to be moving sideways, then the only thing you can do is sell your shares and stand aside. One of the frustrations of trading shares is that an individual cannot profit when prices are going down. In the currency market, it is easy for you to trade a currency downward so that you can profit when you think it is going to lose value. This is easy to do because currency trading simply involves buying one currency and selling another, there is no structural bias that makes it difficult to trade ‘downwards’. This is why the currency market has been occasionally referred to as the eternal bull market.