The Forex Nitty Gritty

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Archive for the ‘Forex Trading System’ Category

In trading the Forex market you have a Forex trading program and you have your own Forex trading strategy. Why do you need a Forex strategy if you already have a Forex trading program to trade the Forex market? The answer has to do with what your Forex strategy will be when the Forex trading program recommends a trade and the Forex market promptly goes the other way!

Computers can make very fast calculations based upon their programming and input. They can access their statistical programs and give you a recommendation that given past data input is predicted to be right 95% of the time. So, what if circumstances change at mid trade or what if your trade falls on the 5% side that is wrong? What is your Forex strategy then?

Forex traders debate whether a fundamental analysis or technical analysis is the way to go. That’s easy. They both are. You cannot think, analyze numbers, and do calculations as fast as today’s computers. However, programming a computer is like training a dog. It may do everything you want it to do to a point but it is still a dog.

You need to know the ins and outs of your trading station. You need to understand the technical analysis your Forex trading program does for you and how you can modify the parameters by which your Forex trading program makes suggestions. If you come out on the “5%” side you need to have a clear idea of what to do and how fast. If your fundamental analysis is good then your Forex strategy is to react according to what you know and what your computer doesn’t know.

A recurring situation is when the currency markets make a big shift. You get in part way through just as there is a correction. If you understand the Forex market fundamentals then you will ride out the correction and make a substantial profit or the day. If you jump ship based upon the advice of your Forex trading program and follow a bad Forex strategy then you will be substantially down for the day.

Your Forex trading program is a tool to trade the Forex market. Your Forex strategy can be thought of as a tool but since it is in reality in your head it is you. The more you know and the better prepared you are the more effectively you can execute your Forex strategy.

May we all have days when the Forex trading program is always right on the money and we never need to think much or worry. On the other hand trading the Forex market is a place where dreams come true without sound thinking and applied effort. Success requires a sound Forex strategy. The stronger your Forex trading strategy the better use you will be able to make of your Forex trading program. Knowing which currencies to trade, which Forex markets to trade and which days you could just as soon go to the beach is part of your Forex strategy. No trading, by the way, is sometimes the best Forex strategy when the Forex market’s moves baffle you. It is never a sin to put your Forex Trading Program in simulation mode and practice, observe, and reformulate your strategy.

A Successful Forex Trading System

Posted by TFNG Admin On June - 22 - 2009

Forex trading online requires more than just good Forex trading software. It requires an overall Forex trading system. It requires a commitment and lifestyle conducive to learning and practice.  A successful Forex trader will work to develop a perspective that allows him or her to pick the right currency pairs to trade at the right times. A successful Forex trading system has to do with knowing the markets of the world, not just currency markets, even if all you trade is currency.

Online trading has changed the world. What once was the province of a few has become available to anyone willing to spend the time, effort, and money to get involved. A potential trap in using today’s sophisticated Forex online software is getting seduced by the technology. A recent flap on the internet had to do with “power texting” by supporters of a TV contestant. Lots of folks using electronics to support their “idol” may work in that setting but shear speed of processing and volume is not going to get it done in Forex currency trading without a Forex trading system.

A Forex trading system starts with deciding which currency pairs to trade and why! This part requires a working knowledge of economics, the monetary systems and economic strength of the two nations involved. In today’s world of recession and recovery one needs to have a sense of who is recovering faster and who is making the changes that will lead to stronger, or weaker, currencies in the longer run.

You need to decide which Forex exchange you will trade. If you pick the largest, London, that means a lifestyle of getting up early on the US East coast and earlier on the West coast. That may have to do with personal issues for you and a significant other that may in the end be as important as any gain you get from your choice of market.

Choosing the right Forex trading software is important. In so far as you can try to get a trial of at least two systems before you commit to one. Advice from successful Forex traders is important on this one but you are the one who will be at the Forex trade station and you need to feel comfortable with what you buy.

Your Forex trading system will have to allocate time for Forex trading and Forex simulation trading. Your Forex trading system will have to allocate time for reading, online training, and communication with other traders.

Forex trading can be fun as well as profitable. However, the better prepared you are, the more rested you are, and the perspective you have the more money you will make and that is the most fun. The trick of being successful at any endeavor is cross training. This does not mean that you go out and play baseball but that you read a lot and put yourself in the shoes of politicians, investment bankers, and other currency traders.

Good luck and work on your Forex trading system!

Success in Forex Means a Plan and a Method

Posted by TFNG Admin On June - 21 - 2009

You are in Forex trading to make money. It is a business. However, the way you make money in your business is by knowing how the system works, having an overall Forex plan, and the self-discipline to carry through every day.

You are the one who will need the discipline to be there when the market opens, pay attention to the overall market trend and be ready to execute promptly, on signal from your software.

An experienced trader always has a Forex plan. The Forex plan takes into consideration information regarding gross domestic product changes in the countries whose currencies you trade. Your Forex plan takes into consideration inflation, news of natural disasters, possible war, huge mergers and acquisitions, balance of payments and more.

Your Forex plan starts with basics. Which currency pairs will you trade? The more pairs you trade the more opportunity you will have. Also, the more currency pairs you want to trade the more home work you will need to do to keep up with market determinants.

Your Forex plan needs to include which market you will trade, London, New York, Hong Kong, or Singapore. If you are a US citizen living in the USA trading the foreign markets means living a different set of hours than the rest of society. A Forex plan for trading the largest, London, market means some basic life style decisions, like having the discipline to not party late on Sundays when you need get up to be ready to trade at 2 am Eastern Time.

You buy Japanese Yen with US Dollars and the Yen goes up instead of down. What do you do and how fast do you do it? Or for that matter the Yen goes down. How fast do you take your profit? How do you reset your stops to take advantage of a longer run?

A big part of your Forex trading plan is your homework. Your Forex world extends far beyond the station at which you trade. How much time do you allot to catching up on world news, market news, or the national news of the countries whose currencies you trade?

The glamorous part of Forex trading is sitting there and “pulling the trigger” to make a lot of money. The sad part of Forex trading is sitting on the wrong side of a market move and having no clue as to whether you should wait for the market to reverse or get out of the trade as fast as possible to preserve the capital you have left.

A successful Forex plan for a beginner is to trade in small amounts, practice lots of simulation trading, and continually review your trades, successful or unsuccessful.

For that matter a successful plan for an experienced Forex trader may well be to trade in small amounts, practice lots of simulation trading, and continually review your trades, successful or unsuccessful!

There are always times when the exchange rate of a given currency pair will change dramatically. During that time, however, there will be ups and downs. Having done your homework in advance will allow you to maximize your trading gains during these times by working your Forex plan.

Forex Trading: The Perfect Forex Trading System

Posted by TFNG Admin On June - 17 - 2009

Trading the Forex market has became very popular in the last few years. But how difficult is it to achieve success in the Forex trading arena? Or let me rephrase this question, how many traders achieve consistent profitable results trading the Forex market? Unfortunately very few, only 5% of traders achieve this goal. One of the main reasons of this is because Forex traders focus in the wrong information to make their trading decisions and totally forget about the most important factor: Price behavior.

Most Forex trading systems are made off technical indicators (a moving average (MA) crossover, overbought/oversold conditions in an oscillator, etc.) But what are technical indicators? They are just a series of data points plotted in a chart; these points are derived from a mathematical formula applied to the price of any given currency pair. In other words, it is a chart of price plotted in a different way that helps us see other aspects of price.

There is an important implication on this definition of technical indicators. The fact that the readings obtained from them are based on price action. Take for instance a long MA crossover signal, the price has gone up enough to make the short period MA crossover the long period MA generating a long signal. Most traders see it as “the MA crossover made the price go up,” but it happened the other way around, the MA crossover signal occurred because the price went up. Where I’m trying to get here is that at the end, price behavior dictates how an indicator will act, and this should be taken into consideration on any trading decision made.

Trading decisions based on technical indicators without taking price action into consideration will give us less accurate results. For example, again a long signal generated by a MA crossover as the market approaches an important resistance level. If the price suddenly starts to bounce back off that important level there is no point on taking this signal, price action is telling us the market doesn’t want to go up. Most of the time, under this circumstances, the market will continue to fall down, disregarding the MA crossover.

Don’t get me wrong here, technical indicators are a very important aspect of trading. They help us see certain conditions that are otherwise difficult to see by watching pure price action. But when it comes to pull the trigger, price action incorporation into our Forex trading system will definitely put the odds in our favor, it will generate higher probability trades.

So, how to create a perfect Forex trading system?

First of all, you need to make sure your trading system fits your trading personality; otherwise you will find it hard to follow it. Every trader has different needs and goals, thus there is no system that perfectly fits all traders. You need to make your own research on various trading styles and technical indicators until you find a concept that perfectly works for you. Make sure you know the nature of whatever technical indicator used.

Secondly, incorporate price action into your system. So you only take long signals if the price behavior tells you the market wants to go up, and short signals if the market gives you indication that it will go down.

Third, and most importantly, you need to have the discipline to follow your Forex trading system rigorously. Try it first on a demo account, then move on to a small account and finally when feeling comfortably and being consistent profitable apply your system in a regular account.

A Sneaky Way to Steal Someone Else’s Forex Trading System

Posted by TFNG Admin On May - 24 - 2009

Anyone who is serious about trading needs to have a Forex Trading System that is tailored to them, but there is no reason to start constructing your Forex trading system from scratch.

Why try and reinvent the wheel when you can benefit from other traders years of experience and borrow your trading system’s ideas and concepts?

It’s easy to do, and there are some pretty good Forex trading systems out there for you to work with. Some of them are free and some are very expensive, but the price tags don’t always reflect the actual value of the Forex trading systems. But, many of these systems won’t work for you, and I am not talking about out-right dishonesty here, which can be a big problem when trading. What I am talking about is your ability to effectively trade with the system that you may be considering using or buying.

You need to use a system that matches your life style and personality. If you have a day job (not trading), a Forex Trading System that requires you to stare at a screen all day wouldn’t be appropriate. You would be distracted at work and miss the opportunities to make money, or even worse, you will not close a trade effectively and could lose money.

Some Forex trading systems have a potential to lose 20, 30 or 40% of your money before they are profitable. Can you handle a system that can drop your trading capital to half before making money? Or, are you prepared to have a string of 8 to 10 loses in a row before you have a winning trade? Some of the best traders in the world lose money on more than 50% of their trades. These are all important points to consider when you are creating your Forex Trading System. Choose aspects of the different systems that are out there that fit your trading style best, and then build your Forex trading system.

An excellent trading method, which was made famous by Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt and is sometimes referred to as Turtle Trading, is one of the best Forex trading systems that I know of. They get returns in excess of 20 to 100% per year using this system. But, could most traders trade their system? Not a chance! Dennis and Eckhardt also loose on over 60% of their trades.

Once you know what sort of Forex Trading System will work best for you, look at the components that make it work. Face it; if you are a new, or even a fairly serious, trader how likely are you to come up with a totally new concept? There are some very smart and wealthy traders out there. Why not use their ideas. Consider Dennis and Eckhardt’s turtle trading, their system is based on a “breakout” method. I know most traders could not trade using their exact method, but they could take parts of it, such as the breakouts, to confirm a trend.

You can also use other Forex trading systems to give you an outline of what parts a system has to have for it to make money. All great Forex trading systems have these three basics:

1. Entry Rules,

2. Money Management Rules and

3. Exit Rules.

Study and learn from the Forex trading systems out there, borrow their concepts, and steal their ideas. It will put you on the track to the system that will make you a successful trader.

Guide to Learning a Forex Trading System

Posted by TFNG Admin On May - 21 - 2009

There are a great number of people in America that are interested in investing in order to make a tidy profit. There are many ways to invest and many ways to make profits by investing. One method that has been gaining in popularity is that of the Forex trading system. If you are unsure of what this is, let me explain. Forex stands for foreign exchange. A Forex trading system is defined as the simultaneous exchange of one countries currency for another countries currency. If you would like more information, please let this be your guide to learning a Forex trading system.

The Forex trading system involves trading some of the world’s most major currencies. These are: the dollar, yen, British pound, Swiss franc, and the Euro. The way the exchange rates of these types of currencies change is based on economic growth. An example: Sometimes the Dollar is worth more than the British pound because the United States was in a period of economic growth while Britain was on the decline. This can be because the unemployment rate was declining in the United States, while on the rise in Britain. Another example: the export rate is up in Asia so the yen is worth more than the Swiss franc where the export rate is down. Economic growth changes daily, so the value of these currencies changes daily. You need to learn to watch for these changes in order to make any money with the Forex trading system.

The Forex Trading system is much larger than that of all U.S. stock markets combined. In fact, the Forex Trading system makes about 1.9 trillion dollars each year. This is 30 times larger than the U.S. stock markets. Also, Forex trading is done throughout the entire world, so it is available 24 hours a day, unlike the U.S. stock markets.

You can learn the Forex trading system for free online at various websites. Many websites offer a free demo account and free Forex trading System training. This way you can practice everything you learn for free, without investing or losing any real money. Then when you get a feel for the Forex trading system, many websites offer a free 30 day trial or free trades to new investors. It is best to utilize some of this free training and the free demo accounts before you start investing your own money.

Now that you understand the Forex trading system a little better, you may wish to get out there and start investing. There is a lot of money to be made, or lost. Be careful and make sure you get the proper training first. With the right frame of mind, you may be able to make some healthy sums of cash through the Forex trading system!

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Disclaimer - Forex, futures, stock, and options trading is not appropriate for everyone. There is a substantial risk of loss associated with trading these markets. Losses can and will occur. No system or methodology has ever been developed that can guarantee profits or ensure freedom from losses. No representation or implication is being made that using this methodology or system or the information in this site will generate profits or ensure freedom from losses.

HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN OR MENTIONED.

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