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Archive for the ‘Profitable Forex’ Category

Trade a Declining Yuan

Posted by TFNG Admin On November - 24 - 2011

An interesting new problem may have arisen for currency traders, how to trade a declining Yuan. The assertion regarding the Chinese currency for many years has been that the People’s Bank of China buys dollars in order to reduce the value of the Yuan and keep Chinese exports flowing. The continuing balance of payments deficits that the US, especially, runs with China, has led US and other lawmakers to demand that China allow its currency to float without any intervention. The theory is that by allowing the Yuan to float Chinese exports will become more expensive and less competitive. Now it appears that the Yuan is falling in value, and not because of currency manipulation. Today’s currency traders trade a declining Yuan as the global economic recovery weakens and the twin financial crises in North America and Europe threaten a second dip to the recession and substantially reduced imports from China. In addition an increase in Chinese imports may well erase the Chinese trade surplus, according to Chinese sources.

Those who currently trade a declining Yuan, have watched as Yuan forwards declined. Forwards are derivative contracts used to hedge currency risk or engage in currency speculation for profit. Unlike trading options on currencies no money changes hands when a forward contract is agreed upon. Also, unlike options contracts, both the seller and the buyer are obligated to fulfill their portion of the forward contract on the delivery date. As currency traders anticipate a falling Yuan, forwards decline. The early result of the debt crisis in Europe and the USA has been the appreciation of other currencies, including the Yuan. However, the threat of a substantial economic downturn in both economies threatens Chinese exports and threatens to drive down the Yuan. Chinese exports did, in fact, fall last month. While talk of internationalization of the Yuan persists its value seems to be driving today by the market and much less so by currency manipulation.

To trade a declining Yuan will require a change of mindset for many traders. The Yuan rose to a seventeen year high against the dollar in mid-November, after a nearly four percent run up this year. Some may merely view this as a correction. However, the debt issues in Europe and North America are terribly real. Thus the Asian exporters who have profited from keeping their currencies weak and have built up huge dollar and Euro currency reserves are likely to pay a price in terms of reduced exports. A silver lining to the clouds may be that as the Yuan depreciates the value of China’s reserves will go up. For those set to trade a declining Yuan two general issues come to mind. One is that the continued appreciation of the Yuan is not guaranteed, especially if China ceases to manipulate its currency. The other is that China has its own set of internal issues and problems. The nation has had steady economic growth for years and many Chinese would consider it political suicide to drastically reduce exports and cash flow into the country. China states that it intends to increase development of internal infrastructure projects in order to maintain high employment and its internal economy. With time, to trade a declining Yuan or a rising Yuan traders may spend less time concerning themselves with currency manipulation and will watch the same sorts of employment numbers and statistics as they watch in the USA when trading the US dollar. With time the Yuan could join the dollar as a safe haven currency.

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    Forex Volatility Profits

    Posted by TFNG Admin On April - 21 - 2011

    With increased Forex volatility profits can rise for traders who are tuned in to the foreign currency market. The world is a chaotic place today with political unrest across North Africa and the Middle East, outright civil war and NATO intervention in Libya, and the devastating earthquake and tsunami that recently hit Japan. At such times Forex volatility profits the prepared. Volatility comes from uncertainty. Successful trading comes from a firm knowledge of the fundamentals of the currencies that one trades and a clear view of market direction so far as technical analysis will supply it. How to trade Forex at times like this is often to buy call or put options in Forex pairs. However, whether one is trading Forex directly or through options Forex volatility profits those who do their homework, develop their trading skills, use a well thought out trading plan, and stay in touch with the market.

    How to enter profitable trades in Forex is the same at all stages of volatility. Forex volatility profits come because there are typically more trading opportunities in the inefficient markets that arise when war, economic chaos, and natural disasters stalk the world. Today in North Africa and the Middle East whole societies have taken their cue from the peaceful demonstrations that forced Egyptian president and strongman Hosni Mubarak from office. Syria has just rescinded a generations-long state of marshal law and closed down a secret court. In Yemen demonstrations continue and there is unrest in the oil rich state of Saudi Arabia. Not only does the price of oil flinch at the prospect of increasing civil unrest in this oil rich region but the value of the Euro, Pound Sterling, and Swiss franc can be affected by the prospect of a disruption of oil supplies and more civil war on Europe’s flank. Forex volatility profits may be very possible as events unfold.

    How to build a trading plan for Forex during times of high market volatility is to start long before the market becomes volatile. Successfully trading in high volume and volatility requires knowledge of both fundamentals and technical market factors. It requires that the trader develop the necessary skill set to execute trades in a timely manner, preserve investment capital, and find the most profitable currency pairs to trade. For example, trading the Australian dollar versus the Yen, Canadian dollar, or US dollar will make less sense when there is trouble on the doorstep of Europe than trading the pound, Swiss franc, or Euro versus one of the dollars or the Yen. Forex volatility profits will most typically come from situations where one currency is stable or profits from a situation while another is damaged. One can scan the various trading pairs for price movement or use a Forex service for alerts in finding the pairs with the most price movement. It will be up to the trader how to do this. Time spent finding the right pair can pay for itself in increased profits. Time saved by subscribing to an alert service may be even more profitable.

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      How to Enter Profitable Trades in Forex

      Posted by TFNG Admin On February - 24 - 2011

      How to enter profitable trades in Forex is entirely possible. Forex traders make their livings buying and selling foreign currencies. How to enter profitable trades in Forex depends, however, upon a number of factors. These are the knowledge base, skill set, availability, discipline, and trading strategy of the individual trader. In addition the availability of an outside information source is important to help the trader direct his attention to the most potentially lucrative trading opportunities in foreign exchange trading. How to trade Forex successfully starts with learning the basics of how the foreign exchange market works. It progresses to knowledge of the types of economic and political factors that drive currency values. Thereafter the trader needs to develop the skills that allow him to trade efficiently. This includes buying the appropriate hardware and software, setting up a trade station, and learning how to execute trades. How to enter profitable trades in Forex includes knowing how to limit risk. Therefore the trader will want to learn how to set trading stops with each trade. And, there is more to how to enter profitable trades in Forex.

      No matter how knowledgeable and skilled a trader is he will not reap profits in sideways moving markets. In other words, if a trading pair always moves up and down together, compared to other currencies, there will be no profit to be made in trading the pair. As events dictate there will almost always be more action and volatility in some currency pairs than in others. Major currency pairs tend to have higher liquidity and volume. As such they may be safer to trade than many minor pairs or major to minor pairs. Deciding where to trade can be as important as the skill set one brings to the trade station. This is where Forex services can help the trader. Having someone continually scan the breaking news and Forex trading action across all currency pairs can alert the trader immersed in scalping profits from one situation. He will be able to extract himself from one situation and invest his trading capital in the next. Forex technical strategies are often more successful in one type of trading situation than anther. Technical analysis is typically more accurate when volume is high. How to enter profitable trades in Forex is often more about being in the right trading pair at the right time than in extremely precise trading tactics.

      How to enter profitable trades in Forex may be difficult if you are a part time trader. In Forex trading the Euro, for example, the trader may miss out on trading opportunities because he is at his day job when important news is released. For the occasional trader options are useful as are limit orders. Ideally a trader will watch the rise of one currency versus the other and adjust his stops along the way. However, if he expects a large one way move in prices he may profit by simply setting reasonable limits and accepting the results. We are not suggesting any specific strategy in asking how to enter profitable trades in Forex. The trader needs to develop his own strategy and do his own analysis and follow up. However, a more comprehensive view Forex trading is usually better than a narrow one and doing your homework tends to pay off in the end.

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        Leverage Misuse and Abuse in FOREX

        Posted by TFNG Admin On November - 8 - 2010

        Forex is the worldwide currency exchange market, also known as the foreign exchange market, “fx” for short. This is an over-the-counter electronic trading market for the major worldwide currencies. It offers easy entry to the average public trader and fairly low margin requirements.

        However, this low margin and high leverage is also the #1 risk and cause of loss among novice Forex traders. Misuse of leverage is the Forex cardinal sin. In the article below I’m going to explain the new leverage rules, and show you exactly how to take advantage of it! To give you even more I put together this Free Forex Toolkit with an entire video section dedicated to using the new leverage rules to consistently profit…GET IT HERE.

        What do we mean by low margin and what is leverage? Well basically this means that you can control a huge amount of a currency in the Forex market with a very small cash outlay. The normal stock and index options that we trade at BigTrends.com represent 100 shares of stock — you pay a premium to control/own this option. For example, in the stock option market you may be able to control the right to buy 100 shares of IBM for $500 — this is an example of leverage. However, the leverage in Forex is much greater than this in most cases … but so is the risk.

        We only have to look at the recent housing market crash to see an example of where leverage and low margin caused massive losses among individual investors. People across the world were buying houses and properties beyond their means and with very little cash down. Many of these were speculative, greedy bets on a continued sharp rise in housing prices — which knowledgeable, experienced traders such as ourselves knew wouldn’t continue forever. They weren’t bad homeowners; they simply misused leverage.

        The huge amount of potential leverage and low margin requirements in fx trading is similar to this. The latest rules allow Forex leverage for 50:1 on major currencies and 20:1 on minor currencies. Some brokers may still be able to offer 100:1 leverage. What this means is that a trader can often control millions of dollars of a currency proposition with a very small cash outlay. When novice traders allow emotions such as greed and fear to rule their trading, they often end up on the losing end of large leveraged bets.

        Thanks for reading, and I’ve got a lot more where that came from! While I write my next article get my Free Forex Toolkit that will put your Forex trading on the right track!

        Article compliments of Scott Downing, Director of Research at BigTrends.com

        How Can I Learn to Invest Safely in the Forex Market?

        Posted by TFNG Admin On September - 11 - 2010

        A common question these days from new comers to Forex is “how can I learn to invest safely in the Forex market.” This question often comes from those who lost substantial sums in the recent stock market crash and are looking for a means of recouping their losses. Normally the focus of new investors in Forex is the leverage offered by Forex trading and the excellent profits that Forex trading leverage can provide. However, those once bitten are twice shy and those who lost in derivatives in the market crash are wise to ask “how can I learn to invest safely in the Forex market. Investing safely is possible so long as the investor realizes that there is always market risk and that investing safely is doing the things that reduce risk while improving the chances of success. In the short and long run how to trade Forex successfully is with knowledge, discipline, and hard work. These are the answer to how can I invest safely in the Forex market?

        There are no guarantees of success in today’s Forex market which is commonly trading sideways. Unfortunately there are ways to guarantee losses. For example, a trader who is in a currency pair that he does not understand and for which he has done no fundamental analysis is asking for trouble. Technical trading is largely based upon accurately reading and taking advantage of small market moves. However, the market may be moving in one direction and may briefly correct. Having a clear idea of where the fundamentals ought to take the market will help the trader decide whether or not to exit a position or to ride out the possibly brief correction. The trader can always exit a position and then reenter if the market turns around. The trouble is that every trade costs fees and commissions and if the market is turning around the trader will lose unless he re-enters his position very quickly on the turnaround. This gets into how many trades you make and the business of auditing your results.

        There are traders who make money on many small trades each day and eat up a substantial portion of their earnings in fees and commissions. If one of these traders remembers to ask the question, how can I learn to invest safely in the Forex market, they will start to audit their trading results and learn to pick fewer trades with larger chances of success. The old adage is that you don’t lose if you don’t trade. So, how can I learn to invest safely in the Forex market? Research the currency pair you want to trade. Audit your trading results and aim for fewer, more profitable trades while avoiding what amounts to compulsive trading. This has to do with the psychology of trading. We usually talk about the twin demons of greed and fear that drive traders to bad trading decisions. The other “psychological” factor is a compulsiveness that can emerge at the trade station. To trade successfully the trader needs to treat trading as a business and execute trades that are planned and part of a Forex trading strategy. When considering Forex tips versus Forex strategy in Forex trading it is strategy that wins out. How can I learn to invest safely in the Forex market? Treat Forex trading as a business with attention to every detail. Forex trading can be very profitable for those to are diligent, knowledgeable, and work hard.

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        Is Trading Forex or Commodities Better?

        Posted by TFNG Admin On August - 29 - 2010

        There are a number of questions the trader needs to ask himself when planning to trade. Do I have the capital to risk in trading? Can I devote the time required to learn the mechanics of trading and to follow the market or markets in which I choose to trade. A basic question might be “is trading Forex or commodities better for me”? In answering the questioning is trading Forex or commodities better the trader will learn about market volume, liquidity, daily price fluctuations, margin requirements, and the like. The trader will have certain preferences and basic knowledge that might lend themselves better to trading a given set of commodities or a given currency pair. While the beginning trader is picking trading hardware, choosing an electronic trading platform, and choosing a broker through which to trade asking a question like “is trading Forex or commodities better?” will help focus his or her attention on the kind of details that lead to successful trading. When the foreign exchange markets are trading sideways and a commodity like wheat is going through the roof due to draught in Eurasia the beginning trader may believe that he has the answer to “is trading Forex or commodities better.” However, the question is best answered taking the long view.

        A successful Forex trading system can make money in the largest market in the world. Trillions of dollars worth of currencies are traded on the foreign currency exchanges over time. This gives the trader access to a very liquid market in any of a number of major currency pairs. These pairs include any two of the euro, US dollar, Japanese yen, pound sterling, Australian dollar, Canadian dollar, or the Swiss franc. Trading outside of the majors can put the trader in a market with less volume, less liquidity, and, often, less potential for profits. In trading the major pairs a trader commonly will be able to take advantage of small market changes throughout the trading day, buying and selling on cue from his trading software. The market moves will not be huge but with sufficient trading leverage there is the potential for good profits. There is always risk trading at a high level of leverage but many believe that the high liquidity of the Forex markets makes their software more statistically accurate so that they can better manage risk by adept trading. There are good and bad reasons to trade the Forex market but the high volume and liquidity are typically ranked as good reasons to trade currency pairs.

        The commodity markets are well known to experience large price fluctuations. This is especially true of agricultural commodities where yearly demand can “eat up” supply. A current example is the severe drought in Eurasia which has sent wheat futures skyrocketing. Commodities trading always has the possibility of large price fluctuations based on new market news. This is attractive to many traders but always carries a level of risk that other traders wish to avoid. Thus, asking “is trading Forex or commodities better” might be rephrased. The trader might ask, “Is trading a highly liquid and profitable market better than trading a potentially volatile market?” In both cases the trader will need to devote a fair amount of time to learning to trade in either market. He or she will also need to devote time to trading. In either market it is entirely possible that if you sit out a day and don’t trade that you will miss a big, and potentially profitable, market move. Good Forex advice, like commodity advice, might be that you choose what fits your skills, inclinations, and allotted time and review your results.

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        Five Easy Steps to Profitable Forex Trading

        Posted by TFNG Admin On January - 19 - 2010

        Most entrepreneurs understand that the secret to true success is being able to rely on yourself and your skills. The more you must rely on others, the less profit you will make for yourself.

        While the brightest entrepreneurs invest plenty of time learning from mentors and pros, they are able to stand “on their own two feet” as quickly as possible. Plus, running your own show allows you to make the best decisions for yourself, without having to negotiate with partners.

        Regardless of the investment system that you try to build, it’s important to be able to do as much of the management yourself, to save in costs and maximize profit. Foreign currency trading is no different. Foreign currency trading, or Forex trading as it is known, is the largest trading market in the world, with a value of over 3 trillion US dollars. This is far larger than the New York Stock Exchange or any other market.

        Imagine the wealth that can be found in the Forex market. Your goal should be to get as large of a piece of that pie as possible. Knowing how to effectively handle your own Forex business can make the difference for you. While you will need some outside help from financial advisors and brokers, you must become very savvy about how the Forex market works in order to survive—and prevail!

        Building your very own profitable trading system in the Forex market is not difficult, but it takes commitment—to both learning the process and participating fully in the system. Developing your own personal trading system is possible, by following a few solid, tried-and-true steps. Your financial goals will be realized—with not only hundreds but possibly thousands of dollars in profit and revenue.

        If you are new to the Forex market, take some time to really learn about these five easy steps to developing your own profitable trading system in the Forex market. Each of these steps can be somewhat customized to meet your own personal financial needs.

        First, learn how the Forex trading system works. It is somewhat different than other trading markets, and knowing how those differences can affect your trading system is critical. There are three main points to understand:

        1. Remember that simple is better. The more complicated a trading system becomes, the more risk there is to your success. Develop simple rules and methods that help simplify the Forex system.

        2. Trading in the Forex market is based on the principle of limiting losses and maximizing profits. You will see those profits and losses very quickly in this market.

        3. Remember, Forex trading systems rely on long term investment and following those trends. Because the Forex market has such a high value, you should be focused primarily on trading in ways that generate larger profits. Don’t focus on tiny profits over and over. Keep your eyes on the prize, and stay the course over the long term. Better opportunities arise when you are patient.

        Build your own profitable trading system in the Forex market by following these five simple steps:

        1. Develop your system with as few rules as possible. Understand how your personal management and each of your decisions affects your portfolio and your bottom line.

        2. Follow long term trends, but make daily decisions to manage your investments. Long term trends can be identified regularly, try to analyze and follow them at least weekly.

        3. Learn how to use breakout methods to trade in your Forex system. Currencies tend to follow breakout trends regularly.

        4. When analyzing your charts, learn how to correctly time your trades based on the breaks that appear.

        5. Time management skills are important. Learning how to manage your Forex trading system while not investing all of your time means you will have more time to enjoy your profits. Enlist the help of automated software and websites that can help you analyze the trends even when you are not sitting in front of your computer.

        Maximize the time that you do spend directly involved by making the best and most profitable trades. It’s time to forget about complicated financial systems.

        Focus on the simplicity of developing a profitable Forex trading system and watch your profits and your financial portfolio grow.

        Do Forex Robots Actually Make Money?

        Posted by TFNG Admin On December - 30 - 2009

        The premises and technologies behind forex robots have proven profitable, but the unfortunate reality is the technology behind the best forex robots isn’t widely available to the public. So while forex robots are profitable, when we talk about the ones that are consistently profitable, that do things that would make a trader’s head spin, we’re probably talking about the forex trading systems that hedge funds and investment banks used to trade nearly every second of every day while making millions of dollars.

        Good luck getting your hands on that kind technology. It’s almost unfair to call the trading systems used by hedge funds and banks “forex robots.” These firms spend millions of dollars developing these systems and the systems’ ingredients are kept under lock and key, making them nearly impossible to copy.

        With that in mind, let’s have a further look at the profit potential of forex robots.

        What Are Your Expectations?

        The big problem a lot of forex traders have with forex robots is managing their own expectations for the kinds of profits a forex robot is actually going to deliver. And this is not really the trader’s fault. After all, the sales pages for forex robots are loaded with all kinds of data and alleged proof that forex robots are money makers. It’s not uncommon to see a forex robot that claims to generate winners 80% of the time. Some even go so far as to say that they churn out winners 90+% of the time.

        Of course when traders see this data, they think that forex robots are great and any forex robot that says it has winners 80% of the time is simply awesome. Unfortunately, these results come from simulated trading or back-tests and as we’ve said so many times before, those environments aren’t good enough when it comes learning about a forex robot’s profit potential.

        What’s The Bottom Line?

        Yes, SOME forex robots can make you money, but please don’t approach shopping for a forex robot with thought that a product that costs between $100 and $200 is going to make you a millionaire overnight or at any point for that matter. The best you can hope for when it comes to a forex robot is a product that is versatile and has the ability to trade successfully across all market conditions. A forex robot that can do those things is a trader’s dream and it’s hard to ask for much more.

        The forex robot is more popular than its ever been with 30% of all traders currently using one as the integral part of their trading and as time goes on we’ll likely see them become more the norm amongst traders. If you’re new to the forex market, don’t have the time to devote to it fully, or simply aren’t making the money that you’d like from it, here are 3 reasons to use a forex robot to see some real automated profits no matter who you are.

        24/7 Trading - To be truly successful in the forex market, it’s only logical that you need to be on top of and familiar with market data around the clock to both identify profitable trends as well as watch over existing investments of yours. The problem is that the forex market occurs over a number of international markets, meaning that it remains open a full 24 hours during the week. A forex robot works 24/7 for you, analyzing real time market data looking for profitable trading ops, investing accordingly when its found what it deems as being a profitable trade, and it watches over those investments to ensure those trends continue until they do inevitably reverse at which point the bot trades away the now bad investment.

        No Emotions - If you’re new and untested in the forex market then you don’t have the discipline which seasoned traders possess and you can only harness over time. It can be very difficult to know when to exit a trade and oftentimes many traders will still in longer than they should before getting out of a once long profitable trade which has reversed while they hold out hoping for another reversal. This generally isn’t how it works, and most traders won’t let themselves get out while they continue to hemorrhage profits. The trading is out of your hands when using a forex robot.

        Universal Trading - These programs were developed initially to cover simple gaps for the higher up traders out there, but they have since been expanded upon so much that the aim and point of many of the robots out there is to ensure that anyone, including complete rookies can run one of these totally hands off programs to both watch and learn how to effectively trade as well as earn some reliable gains in the process.

        Even if you’re fresh off the boat when it comes to the currency exchange or you don’t have the time to devote to it, if you’re ready to realize your financial independence I highly suggest you give forex robots a chance, but only after you’ve done your research to find the best one to meet your needs.

        Automated forex software has really revolutionized the forex trading business. Not only did it make the forex business more profitable, but it also has lessened the complexities of forex business to some extent, rendering it more accessible to general public, who want to have a dip in the bubbling pool.

        Over the past couple of decades, even in the regime of automated forex trading software much development has taken place. From the basic models of late 1990 to highly sophisticated Ivybots, Megadrroid and Metatraders of today, Information Technology has played a really crucial role in the expansion and progress of forex business.

        The old forex software systems, or “forex robots”, were that they were not equipped to adapt according to the changing scenario of the forex market. They hardly were ever updated. Traders would buy them and simply keep them running on autopilot. In the first beginning the forex robots would operate just fine as they were just initiated into the market and did not need any updating as such but then as the changing trends would start asserting themselves in the forex market those forex robot were simply not able to get updated and adjusted to the changing requirement of the market. Consequently the trader was not able to make judicious decision and profitable business. After two or more failures most traders just gave up on those forex robots and probably on forex trade as well.

        But now the surge of new robots is approaching the forex business and forex market in a very different way. Most of them are now premeditatedly designed in such a fashion so as to be able to obtain and receive regular updates from the software designers and programmers; therefore they can be adjusted as the market situations vary. Use of such software has enabled many forex traders to trade exclusively using automated forex software. These software come not only with the promise of timely updates but also with the full client support. Only few years back forex Traders while opting for any automated software system had either to resolve to get trained to keep their software programs updated, or should brace themselves to undergo the changes of market unprepared, thus risking their business and livelihood. Now even an amateur can download and install a forex robot and let it operate on autopilot without any overt or risk of losing his investment.

        <a href="http://www.linkedtube.com/-vPVnCunDKsfe913f6c922420fb26f42a6311edad6d.htm">LinkedTube</a>


        Disclaimer - Forex, futures, stock, and options trading is not appropriate for everyone. There is a substantial risk of loss associated with trading these markets. Losses can and will occur. No system or methodology has ever been developed that can guarantee profits or ensure freedom from losses. No representation or implication is being made that using this methodology or system or the information in this site will generate profits or ensure freedom from losses.

        HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN OR MENTIONED.

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